ANALYSIS OF GRAIN SUPPLY IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

DOI 10.32651/215-53

Issue № 5, 2021, article № 10, pages 53-58

Section: Agrofood market

Language: Russian

Original language title: АНАЛИЗ ОБЕСПЕЧЕННОСТИ ЗЕРНОМ РОССИЙСКОЙ ФЕДЕРАЦИИ

Keywords: FOOD SECURITY, GRAIN SUB COMPLEX, GRAIN, GRAIN SECURITY, SECURITY ANALYSIS, GRAIN DEMAND

Abstract: The article analyzes the availability of grain in the Russian Federation during 1990-2019 from the point of view of considering it as the main element of the country's food security. The results of the calculation of the additional demand for feed grain necessary to bring the provision of livestock products to a one-hundred-percent level are presented. The calculation was carried out for the actual productivity and scientifically-based feeding diets for the main animal species. The level of security was estimated by the volume of actual use based on the annual balance sheets of food resources published on the website of the Federal State Statistics Service. Based on the comparison of the estimated and actual (statistical data) use of grain, the necessity of changing the method of calculating food resource balances by statistical reporting bodies is justified. According to the authors, the methodology approved in 2006 it does not allow to reliably assess the level of security in the main types of agricultural products, as it allows the repeated use of the same data when calculating the volume of production, which significantly overestimates the level of security and forms an imaginary belief in achieving food security in the country. At the same time, it should be noted that the above study is of an exploratory nature, since a large number of averaged and standard indicators were used in the calculations.

Authors: Solntseva Olga Viktorovna, Bunina Natalia Eduardovna