Яндекс.Метрика

COGNITIVE MODELING OF THE INVESTMENT AND INNOVATION DEVELOPMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ENTERPRISES


DOI 10.32651/2512-100

Issue № 12, 2025, article № 15, pages 100-107

Section: Problems of agroeconomic researches

Language: Russian

Original language title: КОГНИТИВНОЕ МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЕ ИНВЕСТИЦИОННО-ИННОВАЦИОННОГО РАЗВИТИЯ ПРЕДПРИЯТИЙ СЕЛЬСКОГО ХОЗЯЙСТВА

Keywords: COGNITIVE MODELING, COGNITIVE MAP, INVESTMENT AND INNOVATION DEVELOPMENT, AGRICULTURE, IMPULSE MODELING, TECHNOLOGICAL GAP, SYSTEM STRUCTURAL STABILITY

Abstract: The article presents cognitive simulation modeling of investment and innovation development of agricultural enterprises based on the construction and analysis of cognitive map G, which includes 26 nodes and 106 arcs. The methodology describes the formation of nodes, the matrix of cause-and-effect relationships, the identification of optimal paths and cycles, as well as the assessment of structural stability and controllability of the model using the CMCS software system. An analysis of node characteristics was conducted, key positive and negative cycles were identified, and optimal impact pathways were determined. Scenario-based impulse modeling of investment and innovation development was carried out under two scenarios: «Unipolar Development» demonstrates localized growth with delayed social resistance; «Harmonious Development» ensures a synergistic effect and a significant increase in the target indicator V1 – «level of investment and innovation development». Based on the results obtained, recommendations were formulated emphasizing the need for a comprehensive policy that includes institutional measures, human resource support, and the development of an educational environment to ensure sustainable investment and innovation growth in the agricultural sector.

Authors: Talakh Nataliia Dmitrievna


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