TRENDS AND PATTERNS OF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN THE RURAL AND CITY
Issue № 11, 2025, article № 17, pages 137-144
Section: Social problems of rural territories
Language: Russian
Original language title: ТЕНДЕНЦИИ И ЗАКОНОМЕРНОСТИ ДЕМОГРАФИЧЕСКИХ ПРОЦЕССОВ НА СЕЛЕ И В ГОРОДЕ
Keywords: DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES, TRENDS, PATTERNS, DYNAMICS, BIRTH RATES, DEATH RATES, AND MIGRATION
Abstract: The relevance of this study lies in the analysis of empirical data obtained from official statistics, which illustrate the problems and changes in the demographic situation in Russia, including during the Great Patriotic War. The main goal of the study is to identify trends in the development of demographic indicators during the war years, the post-war recovery period, and the 1990s and 2000s, when the country was transitioning from a planned to a market economy. The study also examines the consequences of these changes have continued to the present day. As is well known, a market economy implies the existence of various forms of ownership, the development of entrepreneurship and competition, as well as free pricing. The article comprehensively covers the trends in urban and rural population over the specified periods, examines migration flows, and analyzes marriage and divorce rates, as well as birth and death rates. The work employs statistical methodology, which includes assessing the dynamics and calculating the correlation coefficients between the main demographic indicators. Demographic information used to solve practical problems has a number of features: information about the population size is momentary in nature (there are differences between data at a specific point in time and data available to managers); the population is a dynamic object that constantly changes due to birth rates, death rates, and migration patterns. For operational management, preliminary information is used that is slightly behind the actual time.
Authors: Gerasimov Aleksei Nikolaevich, Kapustina Elena Ivanovna, Skripnichenko Viktoriia IUrevna