STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE SUSTAINABILITY OF GRAIN PRODUCTION IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

DOI 10.32651/244-111

Issue № 4, 2024, article № 17, pages 111-118

Section: Problems of agroeconomic researches

Language: Russian

Original language title: СТАТИСТИЧЕСКИЙ АНАЛИЗ УСТОЙЧИВОСТИ ПРОИЗВОДСТВА ЗЕРНА В РОССИЙСКОЙ ФЕДЕРАЦИИ

Keywords: SUSTAINABILITY, GRAIN, PRODUCTIVITY, SELF-SUFFICIENCY, VARIATION

Abstract: Neutralization of economic sanctions directed against the Russian Federation and ensuring the country's food independence is possible with the sustainable development of the agro-industrial complex and, first of all, the systemically important industry - grain production. The presence of vast territories with different natural and climatic conditions requires an economic assessment of industry development trends and sustainability indicators both for the country as a whole and by territory. In this connection, using statistical and econometric research methods in the context of federal districts and the country as a whole for 2003-2022. trends in changes in production indicators of the grain industry, levels of fluctuation of these indicators and indicators of growth in grain production were quantitatively assessed. On this basis, conclusions were drawn about the sustainability of grain production in the Russian Federation and in individual federal districts. The current trends had a positive impact on the level of self-sufficiency of the country in grain, its growth in 2013-2022. stable, the calculated stability index is close to one. Based on trends in indicators for 2017-2022. a forecast for the development of the grain industry for 2024-2026 was given. The current stable trends in the levels of production and self-sufficiency of the Russian Federation in grain allow us to speak about the efficiency of the economic sector.

Authors: Lapteva Elena Aleksandrovna, Neavdava Svetlana Nikolaevna