TRENDS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE RUSSIAN FOOD AND PROCESSING INDUSTRY IN THE CONTEXT OF NEW GLOBAL CHALLENGES

DOI 10.32651/241-93

Issue № 1, 2024, article № 13, pages 93-100

Section: Agrofood market

Language: Russian

Original language title: ТЕНДЕНЦИИ РАЗВИТИЯ ПИЩЕВОЙ И ПЕРЕРАБАТЫВАЮЩЕЙ ПРОМЫШЛЕННОСТИ РОССИИ В УСЛОВИЯХ НОВЫХ ГЛОБАЛЬНЫХ ВЫЗОВОВ

Keywords: AGRI-FOOD COMPLEX, FOOD AND PROCESSING INDUSTRY, EXPORT, IMPORT, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, NEW GLOBAL CHALLENGES

Abstract: The article analyzes the dynamics of production in the food industry, as well as exports and imports of food and agricultural raw materials, while clarifying that against the background of relatively stable development of the food industry over the past decade, indicators of foreign trade in food have shown a multidirectional dynamics of change. It is shown that the actively developing conditions for increasing the investment attractiveness of the food industry have had a positive impact on industry indicators characterizing the efficiency of the use of human resources. In order to substantiate promising trends in the development of the food and processing industry in Russia, a regression analysis of production in the food industry, as well as exports and imports of food and agricultural raw materials, with finding the functional dependence of the dynamics of changes in their values over time and building a short-term forecast. At the same time, for all the analyzed indicators, the short-term forecast of the trend direction obtained by regression models is confirmed by a preliminary assessment of their values for 2022, taken from official information sources. The trends in the consumption of food by the population, which have significant differences depending on the cultural characteristics of different countries, are analyzed. The main trends in the development of the Russian food industry supported at the state level are highlighted, in particular, support for import substitution processes, partial legalization of «parallel» imports, stimulation of innovative developments, maintenance of export-oriented industries and individual producers.

Authors: Trifonova Elena Nikolaevna