THE MAIN TRENDS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE INTERNATIONAL MARKET OF HOPS AND HOP PRODUCTS: RISKS FOR RUSSIA IN THE FACE OF SANCTIONS PRESSURE
Issue № 12, 2023, article № 17, pages 124-134
Section: Foreign news
Language: Russian
Original language title: ОСНОВНЫЕ ТЕНДЕНЦИИ РАЗВИТИЯ МЕЖДУНАРОДНОГО РЫНКА ХМЕЛЯ И ХМЕЛЕПРОДУКТОВ: РИСКИ ДЛЯ РОССИИ В УСЛОВИЯХ САНКЦИОННОГО ДАВЛЕНИЯ
Keywords: FORECASTING, PLANNING, RURAL TERRITORIES, STRATEGIC FORSYTH, STRATEGIC PLANNING, DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
Abstract: The need for the use of strategic force for forecasting and planning the development of rural territories for long -term and medium -term periods in the conditions of high turbulence and instability of the global economy and politics is justified. An algorithm for forecasting and planning sustainable inclusive development of rural areas based on strategic force technology, including three main stages: a pre -medium, strategic force and post -texts. At the pre -medium stage, the choice of key indicators is made for predicting the development of rural terrritories, a comprehensive assessment of the state of rural territories, determining strategic goals, scenario forecasting and preventive preparation. At the stage of strategic force, an expert survey is conducted and a generalization of its results, a force session is organized to jointly discuss the results and the preparation of forecasts. The post -Formation stage provides for the formation of an updated forecast for the development of rural areas by key indicators, determining the main drivers and areas of development of rural territories, preparing proposals for adjusting the strategy and development of rural territories based on expert opinions. Forecasting and planning of the development of rural areas based on the inclusive approach involves the setting of the main strategic goals: increasing the level of employment of the rural population; overcoming rural poverty; The growth of average monthly disposable resources and cash income of rural households. The inclusion of indicative indicators in strategic and software documents will allow you to shift the accents to the most acute problems of the development of the Russian village. The proposed methodology for conducting a strategic force will ensure the involvement of a wide range of interested participants in the process of forming medium and long-term forecasts for the development of rural territories, to direct joint efforts to develop effective decisions to achieve targeted parameters of inclined development of rural territories and their practical implementation.
Authors: Rykova Inna Nikolaevna, IUreva Anna Aleksandrovna, Mamontov Viacheslav Ivanovich