TYPOLOGY OF THE PREDICTED CONSEQUENCES OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE AGRO-INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX OF RUSSIA

DOI 10.32651/2311-93

Issue № 11, 2023, article № 14, pages 93-103

Section: Economics and Ecology

Language: Russian

Original language title: ТИПОЛОГИЯ ПРОГНОЗИРУЕМЫХ ПОСЛЕДСТВИЙ ГЛОБАЛЬНОГО ИЗМЕНЕНИЯ КЛИМАТА В АГРОПРОМЫШЛЕННОМ КОМПЛЕКСЕ РОССИИ

Keywords: CLIMATE CHANGE, AGRO-INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX, TYPOLOGY OF CONSEQUENCES, CLIMATE SAFETY, ADAPTATION

Abstract: The relevance of assessing and predicting the consequences of climate change is confirmed by objective processes recorded by the world's leading research centers. The results of summarizing the consequences of global climate change led to the conclusion that approaches to their assessment and forecasting have been constantly evolving over the past decades by including new environmental, economic and social phenomena. The purpose of this study was to systematize and generalize the consequences of the impact of climate change on the Russian agro-industrial complex. Thus, based on an analysis of domestic and foreign publications, as well as a generalization of practice, the work proposes a typology of the consequences of climate change in the agricultural sector, which is based on two main groups of characteristics: common to all sectors of the economy and specific, characteristic of the agro-industrial complex. As general signs, they are proposed to characterize: the state; manifestation time interval; scales; preventability. Based on specific characteristics, the consequences in the agro-industrial complex are divided by nature into environmental, social, economic, as well as by types of climate security. The authors argue that the consequences of climate change in the agricultural sector must be assessed and predicted in conjunction with all components of technologically and economically interconnected industries (sectors) of the economy, as well as workers, farmers and the rural population employed in this area. The scientific significance of the research results lies in expanding and concretizing the understanding of the impact of climate change on the functioning and development of the agro-industrial complex, which will make it possible to assess and predict the entire range of consequences, as well as develop proposals for adaptation of this sector of the economy.

Authors: Semin Aleksandr Nikolaevich, SHelomentsev Andrei Gennadevich, Goncharova Kseniia Sergeevna