IMPACT OF SHEEP IMPORTS ON THE FORECAST OF THE LAMB MARKET (METHODOLOGICAL ASPECT)

DOI 10.32651/216-78

Issue № 6, 2021, article № 12, pages 78-82

Section: Agrofood market

Language: Russian

Original language title: ВЛИЯНИЕ ИМПОРТА ОВЕЦ НА ПРОГНОЗ РЫНКА БАРАНИНЫ (МЕТОДИЧЕСКИЙ АСПЕКТ)

Keywords: LAMB MARKET, IMPORT AND EXPORT, LIVE ANIMALS, FORECASTING

Abstract: The article examines the impact of imports of live sheep on the formation of the mutton market. The result of the study was a proposal on the need to clarify the methodology for forecasting meat markets with a high share of imports of live animals. The result of the study was a proposal on the need to clarify methodological approaches to predicting meat markets with a high share of live animal imports. The results of the surveys showed that an increase in the average per capita monetary income of the population by one rouble per month leads to an increase in the production of sheep meat (in slaughter weight) by 23.1 tons per year, and imports of 1 ton of meat and meat products - a decrease in production by 66 kg. There is also a link between the import of live sheep and the growth of livestock and sheep production in the region. Depending on the regions, the development of sheep farming in Russia can go in two directions: extensive and industrial development. Due to the lack of domestic breeds adapted for the industrial version of the development of the industry, the need for the import of breeding cattle and its subsequent breeding remains.

Authors: Maksimov Anatolii Fedorovich