FORECAST OF PRODUCTION OF THE MAIN TYPES OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS IN STAVROPOL REGION

DOI 10.32651/201-60

Issue № 1, 2020, article № 10, pages 60-64

Section: Problems of agroeconomic researches

Language: Russian

Original language title: ПРОГНОЗ ПРОИЗВОДСТВА ОСНОВНЫХ ВИДОВ ПРОДУКЦИИ СЕЛЬСКОГО ХОЗЯЙСТВА В СТАВРОПОЛЬСКОМ КРАЕ

Keywords: AGRICULTURE, FORECASTING OF PRODUCTION OF AGRICULTURE, SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

Abstract: For effective management of economy of the region directed to restructuring and modernization, development of enterprise cooperation and interregional integration there is a relevant need for a comprehensive investigation of regional developments, in particular, identification of regularities and studying of the created tendencies in the local grocery markets. The logic of the real research of a state and development of the local grocery markets of production of agriculture assumes coverage of the following main directions: assessment of current situation in the corresponding local market of production of agriculture for Stavropol Krai; studying of interrelations between groups of endogenous and exogenous variables, identification of the cause and effect relations and assessment of narrowness of communication between the studied indicators; the organization of process of creation of the econometric models identifying a state and development of the local markets of production of agriculture; forecasting of production of main types of production of agriculture in Stavropol Krai. The offered methodology of a research provides realization of econometric modeling and forecasting of key indicators of a state and development of the local grocery markets. As a result of a research the technique of forecasting of production of main types of production of agriculture in Stavropol Krai has been offered and approved.

Authors: Gerasimov Aleksei Nikolaevich, Gromov Evgenii Ivanovich, Skripnichenko IUrii Sergeevich