ECONOMIC-MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF LONG-TERM FORECASTING OF PRODUCTION AND EXPORT OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
DOI 10.32651/197-34
Issue № 7, 2019, article № 7, pages 34-41
Section: Historical sketches
Language: Russian
Original language title: ЭКОНОМИКО-МАТЕМАТИЧЕСКАЯ МОДЕЛЬ ДОЛГОСРОЧНОГО ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ ПРОИЗВОДСТВА И ЭКСПОРТА СЕЛЬСКОХОЗЯЙСТВЕННОЙ ПРОДУКЦИИ
Abstract: Economic and mathematical modeling has become widespread in economic research at the stage of completion of the transition to industrial technology in the last century. The provision of industrial enterprises with financial and material resources was carried out on the basis of long-term contracts. In turn, long-term contracts were concluded based on the development of long-term investment projects and targeted programs. Economic and mathematical models were a tool for carrying out variant calculations of the indicators of these projects and programs. The economic-mathematical model considered in the article was first created by the author to carry out real calculations performed when developing proposals for the USSR Food Program, adopted in 1982. In 1991, the system of equations of the model and the information base were updated to adapt them to the calculations long-term forecasts for the agro-industrial complex, held at the All-Russian research institute of economy. At present, due to the need to solve new problems of a long-term economic policy, it becomes important to update the information and the system of model equations for forecasting alternative calculations for the agro-industrial and food complexes of the country for the foreseeable future.
Authors: Amosov Aleksandr Ilich