METHODOLOGICAL APPROACHES TO MODELINGTHE ADAPTATION OF AGRICULTURE TO LONG-TERM GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGES

DOI 10.32651/192-60

Issue № 2, 2019, article № 10, pages 60-66

Section: Problems of agroeconomic researches

Language: Russian

Original language title: МЕТОДОЛОГИЧЕСКИЕ ПОДХОДЫ К МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЮ АДАПТАЦИИ СЕЛЬСКОГО ХОЗЯЙСТВА К ДОЛГОСРОЧНЫМ КЛИМАТИЧЕСКИМ ИЗМЕНЕНИЯМ

Keywords: LOCATION OF AGRICULTURE, CLIMATE CHANGE, REGIONS, ADAPTATION, AGRO-FOOD SYSTEM

Abstract: The article proposes a model for optimizing the transformation of the structure of regional agrifood systems with global climate change. This model is implemented on the basis of a new simplified approach to solving the problem of locating crops in the region during climate change. Two options of realization by the region of the adaptive strategy differing in the budgetary restrictions and the related speeds of transformation of the branches of crop production were considered. Results of these strategies are expressed as gain of the discounted profit. Corrections of industry structure of a regional agro food system can form a basis for formation of elements of agrarian policy.

Authors: Siptits Stanislav Ottovich, Romanenko Irina Anatolevna, Evdokimova Natalia Egorovna