A MULTIPLE APPROACH TO CREATION OF ECONOMIC-MATHEMATICAL MODEL

Issue № 7, 2016, article № 10, pages 65-69

Section: Problems of agroeconomic researches

Language: Russian

Original language title: МНОГОВАРИАНТНЫЙ ПОДХОД К ПОСТРОЕНИЮ ЭКОНОМИКО-МАТЕМАТИЧЕСКОЙ МОДЕЛИ РАЗВИТИЯ СЕЛЬСКОХОЗЯЙСТВЕННОГО ПРЕДПРИЯТИЯ

Keywords: MULTIVARIATE ECONOMIC AND MATHEMATICAL MODEL, UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION OF POTENTIAL LOSSES, FORECASTING EFFECTIVENESS OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP IN AGRICULTURE, THE PROBABILITY OF THE FORECAST

Abstract: Economic-mathematical modelling is an integral part of economic research. A special feature is the absence of economic studies of objects that can be seen as separate elements. The complexity of the system is determined by the number of elements, the connections between them, the relationship between the environment and the system. Economics is a very complex system, which includes a large number of different elements and manifold connections between them and other systems. Economic-mathematical modelling allows us to quantify the connection elements and different systems. We propose a multivariate approach to building economic and mathematical model that allows entrepreneurs to build a forecast for the maintenance and development of its business in conditions of uncertainty. A multivariate approach to the construction of economic and mathematical model includes the following highlights: multi-variant forecast the effect of the business, that is the construction of three options projections (optimistic, pessimistic, and best); quantitative assessment of potential losses under uncertainty; mathematical evaluation of the probability of occurrence of each variant of the forecast.

Authors: Kolobov Dmitrii Sergeevich