DEVELOPMENT OF AGRARIAN AND INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX OF RUSSIA IN THE CONDITIONS OF THE EXTERNAL ECONOMIC RISKS

Issue № 11, 2014, article № 3, pages 20-25

Section: Program-target management of development of agricultural production

Language: Russian

Original language title: РАЗВИТИЕ АПК РОССИИ В УСЛОВИЯХ ВНЕШНЕЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИХ РИСКОВ

Keywords: MACROECONOMIC SITUATION, MONETARY POLICY, AGRARIAN POLICY, IMPORT SUBSTITUTION, EMBARGO, SANCTIONS, CREDIT RESOURCES, INVESTMENT PROJECTS, INTERINDUSTRY PRICE PROPORTIONS

Abstract: As a result of the imposed sanctions, restriction of access of the Russian leading banks and finance companies to foreign credit resources, reduction of prices of oil the economic situation in the country changed, negative macroeconomic indicators are predicted: economic growth will make only 0,3‰, annual inflation can exceed 9‰, essential weakening of ruble is expected. For definition of influence of the imposed ban on import of agricultural production on development of the agrofood market of Russia structural changes in a foreign trade turnover are analyzed, questions of improvement of a monetary policy, a role of investments in the conditions of import substitution, a crediting role in investment process in agrarian sector of economy are considered. The conclusion is drawn that by many types of production - to meat of cattle and pigs, to milk and dairy products, vegetables of the closed soil and fruits to increase the outputs necessary for import substitution for 1 year it won't turn out. For leveling of the external economic risks domestic landowners need increase of production efficiency, financial stability of agricultural producers, creation of the equal competitive environment with foreign, change of a monetary policy of the state with constraining on stimulating.

Authors: Vashanov Viacheslav Alekseevich, Maslova Vlada Viacheslovovna