ASSESSMENT OF REALIZATION OF THE STATE PROGRAM OF STAVROPOL KRAI "DEVELOPMENT OF AGRICULTURE"

Issue № 4, 2015, article № 2, pages 8-16

Section: Program-target management of development of agricultural production

Language: Russian

Original language title: ОЦЕНКА РЕАЛИЗАЦИИ ГОСУДАРСТВЕННОЙ ПРОГРАММЫ СТАВРОПОЛЬСКОГО КРАЯ «РАЗВИТИЕ СЕЛЬСКОГО ХОЗЯЙСТВА»

Keywords: AGRICULTURE, GOVERNANCE, STATE PROGRAM OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, MODELING, SCENARIO FORECASTING

Abstract: Justification of the priority directions of social and economic development of regions requires improvement of tools of strategic planning and forecasting. Authors proved need of addition of system of strategic planning of social and economic development of separate branches of economy of the region by practice of application of methods of perspective extrapolation. In the course of research expected trajectories of target indicators of a state program of Stavropol Krai "Development of agriculture" are revealed, options are received (inert, pessimistic, optimistic) estimates of their values for the period till 2025, the analysis of compliance of values of the main target indicators to the received versions of the forecast is carried out. Creation of econometric models of target indicators of a state program of Stavropol Krai "Development of agriculture" and use of results of their scenario forecasting should be considered as a tool and methodical basis of development of programs socially - economic development of branches and territories. The approved algorithm of forecasting has ample opportunities in the solution of applied problems of development, monitoring and correction of target indicators of strategic programs of social and economic development of the region.

Authors: Gerasimov Aleksei Nikolaevich, Gromov Evgenii Ivanovich, Skripnichenko IUrii Sergeevich